[smokeyb]

'Fraid you're wrong about all of this, bud, because your argument is built on the faulty foundation that people can safely predict the outcomes of elections a year before they happen according to a simplistic categorization of "red states" and "blue states", and using "projections" that don't take into account retirements of safe incumbents, or even whom the candidates are going to be.

Isn't that exactly what Santorum and Bush did with the Specter-Toomey race?

[Flux Capacitor]

It is not. They made a political calculation toward what they felt would be their best chance at keeping the seat and fending off a Democratic takeover of the Senate, because they knew that was a serious threat as it was, and would have been more so with Pennsylvania as an open race.

-Dan