The Colts took advantage of the situation against Denver two weeks ago. They had the opportunity to choose who they would face in week one of the playoffs, and they picked Denver, for a very simple reason. In order to get into the playoffs, Denver had to show the best they had against the Colts' 'B' team. Meanwhile, all the Colts had to do was watch. They had video of everything Denver was capable of doing against them. The result was an embarrassing loss for Denver.
However, New England could see what the Colts were doing, too. As a result, Belichick has had nearly three weeks to devise a method for defeating the Colts. I don't give any team that gives him three weeks to prepare much hope.
Pats by 28 - 21.