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Ending the Evolutionary War
Mackinac Center for Public Policy ^ | Jan. 6, 2005 | Andrew J. Coulson

Posted on 01/07/2005 2:42:22 PM PST by Ed Current

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To: Dataman
You're so right. Invariably, their responses are suffused with panic and name-calling in lieu of calm reason and courtesy.

I suspect they refuse to debate rationally because they already know in their hearts that ID raises a credible and substantial question, the answer to which would be fatal to an essential part of their dogma.

The last thing a materialist wants to hear is a theory and evidence to support it that there is a mind, an intelligence "out there" that is responsible for informing life in all its dazzling complexity, wonder, and beauty. When that evidence is grudgingly admitted by a dogmatic materialist, there is no need for anyone to invoke religion. The materialist will invoke it himself, hestitatingly and fearfully.

121 posted on 01/10/2005 5:55:23 PM PST by JCEccles
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To: JCEccles
they already know in their hearts that ID raises a credible and substantial question...

ID raises a lot of questions, just none that can be addressed by evidence.

If you know of an ID assertion that can actually be tested, let us know about it. Perhaps you can discuss the ID research program. Perhaps you can name an irreducibly complex biological structure, one that would change your mind if it turns out to be made of separately functional components. Too bad the flagellum turned out not to be that component.

122 posted on 01/10/2005 6:01:35 PM PST by js1138 (D*mn, I Missed!)
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To: js1138
ID uses the same evidence that materialists use, particularly the structure of the DNA molecule. But it evaluates that evidence in accordance with strict mathematical and statistical models and information theory (negative entropy) to compel the conclusion that inanimate matter could not have bootstrapped itself into even the most meager and information-poor cell in the mere 15 billion years the universe has been in existence.

Some very bright people agree or have agreed with this basic conclusion including the former arch-atheist Antony Flew and the late Sir Francis Crick. Crick, especially, didn't like the implications and sought to answer it by appealing to panspermia. But panspermia doesn't answer the question. It just defers it.

123 posted on 01/10/2005 6:12:51 PM PST by JCEccles
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To: js1138
Too bad the flagellum turned out not to be that component.

In the same bald, conclusory way I could say that it does.

The same scientific community that runs in a panic from ID, happily supports pouring millions of dollars into SETI, using the same mathematical and statistical models and Shannon information theory in the hope of discovering intelligently designed radio signals from distant galaxies.

Why is that?

124 posted on 01/10/2005 6:19:28 PM PST by JCEccles
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To: JCEccles
...inanimate matter could not have bootstrapped itself into even the most meager and information-poor cell in the mere 15 billion years the universe has been in existence.

Devastating. Fortunately, nobody argues such a thing about the first life forms, so I'm not sure what exactly you've devastated, but there you go.

125 posted on 01/10/2005 6:22:23 PM PST by general_re (How come so many of the VKs have been here six months or less?)
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To: JCEccles
But it evaluates that evidence in accordance with strict mathematical and statistical models and information theory (negative entropy) to compel the conclusion that inanimate matter could not have bootstrapped itself into even the most meager and information-poor cell in the mere 15 billion years the universe has been in existence.

Yes, and Zeno proved, with impeccable logic, that nothing can travel from point A to point B. When sane people encounter an apparent paradox, they settle it in favor of evidence that the impossible event happened, and the problem is with the formulation of the logical statement.

Evolution is an observed fact. All the phenomena necessary for natural selection to produce new species are observed, both in nature and in the laboratory. We have rather good lists of species that are currently in transition.

We can observe bacteria evolving to survive antibiotics.

We can observe insertions and duplications of DNA material. We can observe changes in chrosome count. In short, all the individual parts necessary for evolution to work have actually been observed.

What has not been observed is abiogenesis. You get that point. But it looks like a slender thread to me.

126 posted on 01/10/2005 6:23:59 PM PST by js1138 (D*mn, I Missed!)
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To: JCEccles
I have to say the SETI argument is a new high in this dreary cycle of threads. But I am unaware of any successful application of information theory in SETI research or in ID. By this, I mean nether extraterrestrial life nor ID has ever been demonstrated by such an analysis.
127 posted on 01/10/2005 6:40:09 PM PST by js1138 (D*mn, I Missed!)
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To: js1138
We can observe bacteria evolving to survive antibiotics.

You may be more the scientific type than me ... but aren't you confusing "adaptation" with "evolution"?

We can observe changes in chrosome count.

I'd be interested in reading articles regarding changes to chromosome counts if you would post such for me, especially if not artificially produced. Fascinating stuff!
128 posted on 01/10/2005 7:08:03 PM PST by so_real ("This is it -- we're going home.")
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To: AndyTheBear
Most successful religious prophecies when examined carefully tend to fall into 3 camps:

Prophesying things that have already happened.

Prophesying things that are obviously likely to happen.

Prophesying things so vague that it is easy to claim success.

Outside these 3 camps you'll get the odd startling success through blind luck, and no-one counts the failed prophecies.

Scientific predictions made by theories like ToE are a completely different kind of thing. They are definite. They are non-obvious (unless you accept the theory). If they fail people alter or reject the theory. Stuff that has already been observed only counts if further different observations can be made of the same prediction.

129 posted on 01/10/2005 11:47:30 PM PST by Thatcherite (Conservative and Biblical Literalist are not synonymous)
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To: so_real
I'd be interested in reading articles regarding changes to chromosome counts if you would post such for me...

I would have to google such phrases as polyploidy, chromosome evolution, and so forth. When you do this you have to weed through a lot of stuff, but you will find a few nuggets.

My point is not that I have a deep understanding of this subject. It's just that chromosome variation exists, even in humans. Sometimes it results in retardation or sterility, but not always.

If chromosome anomalies were both frequent and inconsequential, the world would be a vastly different place. The fact that anomolies exist at all provides a mechanism required and implied by evolution.

If variation in chromosome count did not exist, or if all hybrids were sterile, that would make common descent impossible.

130 posted on 01/11/2005 6:49:08 AM PST by js1138 (D*mn, I Missed!)
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To: Thatcherite
Scientific predictions made by theories like ToE are a completely different kind of thing. They are definite.

We both agree that the Bible is not science. My point was your argument that the Big Bang was science because it made predictions that were verifiable was fallacious.

Don't get me wrong, I do think it is a useful big picture model, just as I think the concept that all life evolved is, and also the big picture concept of intelligent design.

But realistically there are virtually endless pieces of evidence that could be interpreted to either support or contradict these big pictures, and none of them are well enough defined or testable for mortal science.

Although current examples of the evolutionary processes are scientifically verifiable. The larger picture of evolution being a sufficient explanation for the origins of life is speculation. Its not necessarily a bad speculation. Exactly when and how are always arguable, just as prophecy is, and just like prophecy, we will never know unless God lets us know. As for myself, I think God may very well have chosen to let life evolve. The similarity between the DNA of species for instance is a good hint. But I do not claim my speculation is following the scientific method any more then my interpretation of the Bible is.

131 posted on 01/11/2005 12:56:18 PM PST by AndyTheBear (Disastrous social experimentation is the opiate of elitist snobs.)
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To: AndyTheBear
Interesting. We are not as far away from each other's positions as I thought at first.

Are you aware that Cosmic Microwave Background was predicted by Big Bang theory, and subsequently detected (for which a Nobel Prize was awarded). Its absolutely tiny anisotropy fits superbly with our expectations of an expanding universe.

I am not aware of any rival explanation for CMB.

132 posted on 01/11/2005 2:19:06 PM PST by Thatcherite (Conservative and Biblical Literalist are not synonymous)
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To: Thatcherite
Are you aware that Cosmic Microwave Background was predicted by Big Bang theory, and subsequently detected (for which a Nobel Prize was awarded).

No, I wasn't. So now its too late for the Big Bang to predict it for me.

Its absolutely tiny anisotropy fits superbly with our expectations of an expanding universe.

"Anisotropy" is not even in my vocabulary...seriously what does it mean?

I am not aware of any rival explanation for CMB.

Don't feel bad. I'm not aware of a lot of things, quantum mechanics in particular seems to give me trouble. I can start to follow it mathematically, but I just can't get an intuitive feel like I get with good old Newtonian physics. But God help me in figuring out why the universe exists at all.

133 posted on 01/11/2005 4:42:32 PM PST by AndyTheBear (Disastrous social experimentation is the opiate of elitist snobs.)
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To: AndyTheBear
Isotropic just means "the same wherever you look". There is a tiny directional anisotropy (more recently detected) which indicates the direction of our local expansion velocity.

Here is a quote I found that helps to describe the phenomenon for those of us (including me) with a relatively modest understanding of physics:

Why does the CMB support the Big Bang picture?

The basic point is that the spectrum of the CMB is remarkably close to the theoretical spectrum of what is known as a "blackbody", which means an object in "thermal equilibrium". Thermal equilibrium means that the object has had long enough to settle down to its natural state. Your average piece of hot, glowing coal, for example, is not in very good thermal equlibrium, and a "blackbody" spectrum is only a crude approximation for the spectrum of glowing embers. But it turns out that the early Universe was in very good thermal equilibrium (basically because the timescale for settling down was very much shorter than the expansion timescale for the Universe). And hence radiation from those very early times should have a spectrum very close to that of a blackbody.

The observed CMB spectrum is in fact better than the best blackbody spectrum we can make in a laboratory! So it is very hard to imagine that the CMB comes from emission from any normal "stuff" (since if you try to make "stuff" at some temperature, it will tend to either emit or absorb preferentially at particular wavelengths). The only plausible explanation for having this uniform radiation, with such a precise blackbody spectrum, is for it to come from the whole Universe at a time when it was much hotter and denser than it is now. Hence the CMB spectrum is essentially incontrovertible evidence that the Universe experienced a "hot Big Bang" stage (that's not to say that we understand the initial instant, just that we know the Universe used to be very hot and dense and has been expanding ever since).

In full, the three cornerstones of the Big Bang model are: (1) the blackbody nature of the CMB spectrum; (2) redshifting of distant galaxies (indicating approximately uniform expansion); and (3) the observed abundances of light elements (in particular helium and heavy hydrogen), indicating that they were "cooked" throughout the Universe at early times. Because of these three basic facts, all of which have strengthened over the decades since they were discovered, and several supporting pieces of evidence found in the last deacade or two, the Big Bang model has become the standard picture for the evolution of our Universe.

Here is the site that I got it from which has loads more very interesting information (to a sad loser like me, anyway)

134 posted on 01/11/2005 11:50:22 PM PST by Thatcherite (Conservative and Biblical Literalist are not synonymous)
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To: JCEccles
But it evaluates that evidence in accordance with strict mathematical and statistical models and information theory (negative entropy) to compel the conclusion that inanimate matter could not have bootstrapped itself into even the most meager and information-poor cell in the mere 15 billion years the universe has been in existence.

Whoa there, boss. "negative entropy"? No such thing exists in either mathematics or reality. I made my fame and fortune authoring parts of modern information theory, and much of what passes for "information theory" in these arguments is grossly misapplied and generally just plain wrong. It is one of the most difficult fields of mathematics to wrap one's head around and is very counter-intuitive. Not to worry though, just because you do not grok it does not mean the other guy does either.

And charlatans like Dembski, inventing concepts that both don't exist in math and which directly contradict proven theorems, rightly attract my ire because most people do not know enough about the field to differentiate turds from chocolate. But in a nutshell, if it ain't in Li & Vitanyi (the de facto Principia Mathematica of the field), it is nonsense.

135 posted on 01/12/2005 12:30:47 AM PST by tortoise (All these moments lost in time, like tears in the rain.)
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To: JCEccles
The same scientific community that runs in a panic from ID, happily supports pouring millions of dollars into SETI, using the same mathematical and statistical models and Shannon information theory

Pssst...

You do now that Shannon information theory is a narrow sub-field of the broader discipline primarily limited to communication protocols, don't you? Perfectly appropriate for trying do alien signal intercept (no matter how stupid I personally think SETI is), but a mathematical antique for most everything else related to modern information theory.

SETI should be using the principles of Shannon information theory. The ID community should be using something that didn't pass the Sell By date in the 1970s. Outside of very narrow bands, like communications, information theory has been almost completely rewritten in the last decade or two and the Shannon version has been largely replaced with far better and more general math.

136 posted on 01/12/2005 12:39:00 AM PST by tortoise (All these moments lost in time, like tears in the rain.)
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