[tortoise]

Today's traffic: Some internal (unofficial) analyses of the orbital elements are putting impact probability at 1:20 now, though the major risk sites have kept the 1:43-ish official numbers.

The thing that is causing a lot of consternation among the scientists is that they cannot seem to nail down the size. While the official releases put it around 400m, it could easily be as small as a couple hundred meters or as large as a kilometer in diameter (now that would be a country killer).

I'm getting a bunch of NEO scientist traffic on this. Pity there isn't an official thread for tracking this particular asteroid.

[SunkenCiv]

"Pity there isn't an official thread for tracking this particular asteroid."

[sniff] what about this one? Welcome one and all to the unoffficial thread... ;')

1:20 is a mere 5 per cent risk. That's a lot higher (obviously) than the risk of death from flying on a plane, or driving a car, or falling off a stepladder... :'o

[eno_]

Let us all know if there are any official or unofficial updates. The NASA site is holding steady at 1:43 odds.

Tradesports should establish a market in this.