Posted on 12/20/2004 8:10:43 AM PST by Tumbleweed_Connection
Massachusetts senator John Kerry could win the presidency in 2008, according to a poll by Opinion Dynamics released by Fox News. 45 per cent of respondents would vote for the 2004 Democratic nominee in a head-to-head contest against Republican Florida governor Jeb Bush.
In other prospective elections, New York senator and former first lady Hillary Rodham Clinton leads three Republicans: Florida’s Bush, Tennessee senator Bill Frist and New York governor George Pataki.
Rodham Clinton was first elected to the U.S. Senate in 2000, defeating Republican Rick Lazio by 12 per cent. She ruled out a presidential bid in 2004.
Other high-profile Republicans who may run for office in 2008—such as former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani and Arizona senator John McCain—were not included in the survey. Current president George W. Bush is constitutionally barred from seeking a third term in office.
Polling Data
Thinking ahead to the next presidential election, if the 2008 presidential election were held today and the candidates were (insert choices here), for whom would you vote?
John Kerry (D) 45% - 37% Jeb Bush (R)
Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) 40% - 33% Bill Frist (R)
Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) 41% - 35% George Pataki (R)
Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) 46% - 35% Jeb Bush (R)
In a related story a Fox News Dynamic Poll found that if the election were held today John Kerry would win by 7 percentage points.
(/s)
"What does the general public know about ANY of those Republican "candidates"? John Kerry had a huge national campaign, and while no one knows what his policies are about, they at least know who he is."
It does make sense if you need to create a "controversy" for viewers OR you need to keep you core from defecting to the green party.
Just a smoldering heap now ;)
"I believe it is 53% now, with OVER 6 million american voter margin."
Point is none of them can break 50% against unknowns. That's really bad news for Rodham and Kerry, actually.
Yes. Hillary and Kerry are bumping their heads in the mid 40s. Put a good GOP candidate up against them and you have a blowout.
Here's something interesting.
Ronald Reagan's final share of the popular vote in 1980: 50.8%
George W. Bush final share of the popular vote in 2004: 50.8%
And it all comes full-circle :)
Thanks for the correction, that's what I get for working and FRing at the same time.
If the economy is turned around, and the war on terror goes well, I think Jeb could run and win in 2008 based a "Dubya's third term"/"stay the course" campaign. If he runs, he starts out with a good electoral map (he nails down Florida, making the battleground the Midwest and Upper Midwest).
I'd certainly vote for him.
Well, you are aware that like anyone else who is a citizen, he does have a right to run for the office doesn't he? As long as he fits all other criteria, he does! He might not win; but he does have a right to run. I know some people might not vote for him for the reason you stated.
However, it's not like he just inherits the office! We don't live in a monarchy, or a dictatorship! But some people will support him, and they have a right to, whether he wins or not! So why not let him run if he wants to; and lets see what happens? Personally, I don't have a problem voting for him! And like I asked you above, he's not forbidden to run, is he?
The only interesting fact in the poll is the spike (for HRC) caused by throwing Jeb Bush into the question. There are more than a few citizens who won't vote for another Bush, whatever his qualifications. Most of the founding fathers recognized the dangers of having executive leadership devolve up a few families.
Uh, just how will that happen? If I remember right, he would have to campaign on his own merits, wouldn't he? It's not like he's installed, good grief! You'd have just as much to worry about with the Clinton's, wouldn't you? If the man wants to run, he has a right to.
Also, if people want to vote for him on his own merits, they have a right to do that. So, as I wrote to someone else on this thread, let's just see what happens! You don't have to like it, but if he fits the criteria; he can run like anyone else! He isn't forbidden, just because his Dad and brother were President!
Can we put a moratorium on these silly polls until 2006? Nobody had a clue who was going to run in 2000 back in 1996. Same applies here.
Many of those running in 2006 won't have any other option but to support Bush policies.
Best comment on this poll yet. Rather than indicating a Dem victory it at best suggests that name recognization and party loyalty are pretty good for the Pubbie prospects.
it seems... some freepers needs some basic education
Just out of curiousity, if Jeb Bush ran, and got the nomination. Does this mean you wouldn't vote, or you would vote democratic (say Hillary Clinton if she was the dem nominee) or vote 3rd party.
And no, I'm not disparaging or mocking you.
And rising, since he became majority leader, its risen to 89, it'll be in the 90's in a year or so.
Won't go much higher, since he's leaving the senate in 2006.
JEB AIN'T RUNNING SO WHO CARES.
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