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To: Howlin

Wasn't Pew research one of the ones who misjudged the outcome of the election?


Nevertheless, the Kansas City Star says the Pew information confirms that more Catholics and Evangelicals turned out and more of them voted for the President:

http://www.kansascity.com/mld/kansascity/news/nation/10122797.htm

""Catholics represent about a quarter of the electorate, or about 31 million voters this year, and Bush had aggressively courted them, particularly in battleground states.

The president got a noticeable boost from white Catholics, whose support rose to 56 percent from 52 percent four years ago. He also did better among Hispanic Catholics, who turned out in larger numbers and gave Bush 44 percent of their vote, up from 35 percent in 2000.

Because turnout rose overall this year, analysts were not concluding that the Catholic help nationally was the decisive difference for Bush. About 80 percent of white evangelicals went for the president, delivering him about 20.6 million votes, or about 1.3 million more than in 2000.

Catholics are hardly a monolithic bloc. Catholics who said they did not attend Mass weekly - and who outnumbered observant voters - preferred Kerry, 50 percent to 49 percent.""


914 posted on 11/13/2004 9:50:37 PM PST by hocndoc (Choice is the # 1 killer in the US)
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To: hocndoc
Because turnout rose overall this year, analysts were not concluding that the Catholic help nationally was the decisive difference for Bush.

Exactly what I said up the thread; all across the boards between 5 and 9 percent per demographic.

About 80 percent of white evangelicals went for the president, delivering him about 20.6 million votes, or about 1.3 million more than in 2000.

If that number is right, and since Bush is honing in on 62,000,000 votes, that's less than a third; hardly a "mandate" from which Evangelicals can demand anything.

916 posted on 11/13/2004 9:55:14 PM PST by Howlin (I love the smell of mandate in the morning.)
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To: hocndoc
Well, the guy who WROTE the report for Pew Research disagrees:

Here are the facts. As Andrew Kohut of the Pew Research Center points out, there was no disproportionate surge in the evangelical vote this year. Evangelicals made up the same share of the electorate this year as they did in 2000. There was no increase in the percentage of voters who are pro-life. Sixteen percent of voters said abortions should be illegal in all circumstances. There was no increase in the percentage of voters who say they pray daily.

923 posted on 11/13/2004 10:00:08 PM PST by Howlin (I love the smell of mandate in the morning.)
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