A tie vote with a favorable recommendation is considered a victory to the floor.
But the larger point is that this is superfluous. We won't see close votes or tie votes, the electorate has spoken. We'll see lots of crossover votes for the President's nominees both in committee and on the floor.
What happened to Daschle and the overall election results has sent a permanent chill in RAT antics and filibusters. It's just how Washington works.
Further, this President is not gonna appoint rabid pro-life activist judges. However, he will appoint strict constructionists, including some who have proferred an article or opinion on the constitutional merits (and lack thereof) of Roe v Wade.
Conservatives should keep expectations in check. We will transform the federal judiciary by the end of Bush II, and Roe may indeed be overturned, or it might not. But our agenda is much larger than just Roe.
Gary Bauer was not elected President; George W. Bush was. Important distinction to keep in mind.
Everything that you said reflects your "hope", not facts. I'd prefer to be sure by keeping all of the "probablys" out of the equation and Specter out of the chairmanship.