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To: Fresh Wind

Absolutely correct. While watching the early returns on the Internet I remarked to my wife that the early count "had to be Philadelphia". It was, I believe, 75% - 25% at the time. I predicted that Kerry would get "no more than 52%" when all was said and done and that if Bush could stay within 5% of Specter's numbers that he may very well win. (Specter was losing something like 71% - 29% at the time.)

It turned out very close and Bush would have won except for the fraud in Philadelphia. Maybe we can jettison Philly to New Jersey!

By the way, I called the election for Bush at 7:35 pm when the returns showed that he would get at least 60% in both Kentucky and Indiana. When a Republican does that, Ohio always follows.


26 posted on 11/05/2004 5:24:23 AM PST by SONbrad
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To: SONbrad

I think the bogus exit poll showing Kerry winning PA by a larger margin must have influenced the projection.

I was also pleased when I saw GWB leading with 58% in the national vote at 7 PM. In some past elections, most notably in the 1980s, I noticed that the Repub candidate would usually lose 3-5 points off what his starting percentage was. For example, in 1980 Ronald Reagan had 54% when the vote counting started, but then he dropped 3 and ended up wtih 51% in the final vote. So when the president had 58% in the early evening, I was optimistic he would end up winning, though his percentage did drop a lot.


32 posted on 11/05/2004 5:45:50 AM PST by TNCMAXQ
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To: SONbrad
Maybe we can jettison Philly to New Jersey!

Hey, watch it! We're already stuck with Newark, Trenton, Camden, Hudson County. Without them, "Joisey" goes RED!

39 posted on 11/05/2004 6:09:11 AM PST by JimRed (New tagline applications being accepted on this site...)
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