Nothing 'slight' about it.
He WON!
And I participated in that poll! Woo hoo!
The "final estimate" means nothing, absolutely nothing, unless you factor in earlier estimates.
It's now common knowledge that many pollsters cook their numbers to influence the election and then adjust them back to reality at the last minute when everyone is too busy to notice it.
For that reason, it would take a far more detailed analysis of the internals and the earlier numbers before deciding that Pew won the day.
Pew is notoriously liberal, and has notoriously cooked its books in the past.
i read that rass was also right this year. that he went from worst in 2000 to best in 2004.
Polling Dissonance: Ohio
The Pre-Election Polls
Date: October 17, 2004.
Source: ABC News.
Poll: Kerry leads by three points, 50-47, with three percent undecided.
Date: October 20, 2004.
Source: CNN/Gallup/USA Today.
Poll: Kerry leads by one point, 48-47, with four percent undecided.
Date: October 21, 2004.
Source: Univ. of Ohio/Scripps News Service.
Poll: Kerry leads by four points, 50-46, with three percent undecided.
Date: October 25, 2004.
Source: Survey USA.
Poll: Kerry leads by three points, 50-47, with two percent undecided.
Date: October 26, 2004.
Source: Los Angeles Times.
Poll: Kerry leads by six points, 50-44, with six percent undecided.
Date: October 31, 2004.
Source: CNN/Gallup/USA Today.
Poll: Kerry leads by four points, 50-46, with four percent undecided.
The Actual Result
George Bush wins the state, by well over 100,000 votes, and by a margin of 51.0-48.5.
http://polipundit.com/