[Cvengr]

In Ohio,

Cuyahoga 82850
Hamilton 19460
Knox 462
Lucas 4653
about 107425 votes not yet tallied..if percentages of precincts tallied is propostional to the voting population actively voting.

Bush leads at present by 171,533.

Even if all outstanding votes were given to Kerry, Bush still wins by 64,108.

If say 250,000 provisional votes come in at the same percentage rate as Cuyahoga County being a pro-Kerry county,..+ 107425 = 357425 votes max


65.77% Kerry 357425= 235079
33.66% Bush 357425= 120309

177,533Bush lead - 114,770 (assume Kerry adv.) = 62763

looks like Bush is going to win Ohio by at least 62,000 and probably more.

If the same benefit of doubt were given to Bush, Bush wins by

48.16% Kerry 357425= 172136
51.36% Bush 357425= 183574

177,533Bush lead + 11438 (assume Kerry adv.) = 188,971

Looks like Bush will win Ohio by 62,000-189,000 votes or 1-3% of the total vote.

[spectr17]

Lord Jennings making weird facial scratches

[shezza]

1-3% margin, even assuming all sorts of "if" scenarios benefitting Senator HorseFace. Yet the state itself only considers it close if it's within one quarter of one percent.