[LincolnLover]

FWIW, here's a bit from PoliPundit (info I've not seen posted elsewhere) regarding exit polls and what BC 04 has to say about them:

"Exit polls are worthless. Just ask Mystery Pollster. Also, they were wrong in 2000 and 2002. However, for what it’s worth, here’s what the Bush campaign is thinking:

I’m told that pollsters close to the Bush campaign think that Bush is up in Florida and New Hampshire, down in Wisconsin, even in Pennsylvania and Michigan, and “doing well” in Ohio. And they don’t think that the exit-poll numbers on NRO about Ohio add up. UPDATE: Drudge’s much-ballyhooed numbers, showing Kerry with a slight lead, used a 59-41 Female-Male sample. If you believe those numbers, there’s a bridge I’d like to sell you.

Also, someone in a position to know says:

Early exits in 2000 had Colorado +0, we won by 9. NC dead heat, we won by 12. Florida -3, we won by 537 votes.

The weight of the evidence shows late deciders broke for us.

[NittanyLion]

And I might add, the quote on Drudge, "shows Kerry in striking distance -- with small 1% lead -- in Florida and Ohio, sources tell DRUDGE" seems very strange. Why is Kerry in striking distance if he leads? Seems to me he'd be in striking distance if BUSH led by 1%, not the other way around.

Regardless, early exit polling is crap.

[ThinkDifferent]

Early exits in 2000 had Colorado +0, we won by 9. NC dead heat, we won by 12. Florida -3, we won by 537 votes.

Excellent.