Not to burst any bubbles -- but at 5 PM on election night in 2000 -- the RNC insiders were still predicting a large victory -- to include over 310 electoral votes. I know -- because I know the people there.
Right now -- Bush has a strong chance to win, but only by holding Florida. Ohio would be great -- but it is not essential. I we capture Florida -- we should have enough to win Iowa and Wisc.
We will not win PA.
Also -- the real big question here is how good is the 72 hour plan. It has been developed over 3.5 years. In addition, it was tested in the Congressional mid-terms with success. However, the dims have poured record money into their already battle tested GOTV machine.
Republicans will need to prove that they can mobilize numbers from far more difficult ranks. (Dems get extra voters in urban areas where hordes are registered. The proximity and the use of Union organizers make it easier for them to drive-up turn-out.)
The Republicans need to counter this -- and top it. That will not be an easy task. The good news is, they need only do it in a few states to win in the electorial college.
I will say this, however, if we get to over 130,000,000 voters, that cannot be good for an incumbent polling under 50%.
Unless we do.