Thats my take. Clueless in Pollsterville. The internals are not reflected in the poll numbers. The breakdown by sex and region are whacky in the national polls. All we can say is its tight and watch where they campaign. BAsed on that I think we have a slight edge and I'll settle for slight.
Gentlemen, I don't think they CAN have a clue. I got 70% answering machines all day Saturday and Sunday. If they have a designated sample to see, they just aren't going to get it. It has nothing to do with cell phones or the Amish without phones or anything else. The only people answering polls are bored or zealots or anything else Not Representative.
And the internal polls would have the same problem.