[darkmatter]

Gallup assumed that most undecideds would break toward Kerry. There is a problem with the theory that this years undecideds will break against the President, because of what happened in previous elections. By now in all of those other elections undecideds had already broken toward the challenger. They usually do so within one week before the election, not 36 hours. This year already doesnt conform to that precedent.

[UnbelievingScumOnTheOtherSide]

Gallup assumed that most undecideds would break toward Kerry. There is a problem with the theory that this years undecideds will break against the President, because of what happened in previous elections. By now in all of those other elections undecideds had already broken toward the challenger. They usually do so within one week before the election, not 36 hours. This year already doesnt conform to that precedent.

The "undecideds" are a figment in the first place, so guessing what they will "do" is a fool's errand. All polls before the last one are lies.