President Bush now down in Florida. That's BS. Laura Ingram on Larry King last Thursday wanted to bet Senator Graham 500 (Going to charity) that President Bush would win FL. Graham would not bet.
I have my own theory.
Prior to 2000 polling outfits typically called the race for the correct winner but underestimated the Republican's final numbers and either got right or slightly over estimated the Democrats final numbers.
In 2000 since the election was much more than just election nights and polls came into question...they have returned to underestimating Republican numbers (Bush numbers).
Why in the world can Kerry seldom crack 47 percent yet Bush can't get to 50 percent? It doesn't make sense. If this REALLY is the case then it seems to me there may be more people staying home than the convention wisdom says for this year. There are NO undecideds this year. So what does this tell us? Probably the undecideds are non-voters so if 3% of 600 are undecided then the sample then goes down to 582. If Bush is getting 49% of that number and Kerry is getting 47% then this really equates to Bush getting 50.5% and Kerry is getting 48.5% which should guarantee Bush an EC victory if this is the case.