To: infohawk
While we have no proof, the 2000 final battleground poll was probably taken before the DUI story broke on the final Friday before the election.
Not that it matters but the BG poll was running a 3-day average poll with it's last issue on Nov. 6 which was really a 2-day poll average. The DUI story broke early in the day on Thursday Nov. 2 and Bush responded. It got some traction from that point on. The following is the BG polling data for the first week of Nov. 2000
|
|
|
Al
Gore
(D) |
George
W. Bush
(R) |
Pat
Buchanan
(Reform) |
Ralph
Nader
(Green) |
Not
Sure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
N |
| Tarrance Group (R)/Lake Snell Perry & Associates (D)/Voter.com/Battleground Survey |
| # |
11/5-6/00 |
45.0 |
50.0 |
|
3.5 |
|
1,000LV |
| # |
11/5-6/00 |
41 |
46 |
- |
4 |
10 |
1,000LV |
| # |
11/1-2, 5/00 |
37 |
46 |
1 |
5 |
11 |
1,000LV |
| # |
10/30 - 11/2/00 |
37 |
46 |
1 |
5 |
11 |
1,000LV |
| # |
10/29-31, 11/1/00 |
39 |
46 |
1 |
5 |
10 |
1,000LV |
|
|
BG Poll62 posted on
10/30/2004 1:57:24 PM PDT by
deport
(I've done a lot things.... seen a lot of things..... Most of which I don't remember.)
To: deport
Something else that occurred to me about final tracking poll results and the 2000 election. Another reason Gore experienced a surge over the last few days was because the dems had a GOTV effort while the repubs didn't. From what I've heard, the repubs have a fantastic GOTV effort this year. Its the first time we have had one in some time for a presidential election. It was unveiled for the first time during the 2002 elections and seemed to make a big difference by creating a surge to republican candidates. Many, many 2002 polls, especially Zogby, were way off.
64 posted on
10/30/2004 2:04:52 PM PDT by
infohawk
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