[John Jamieson]

Actually the ARG poll shows Kerry 49, Bush 46 in FL.

ARG internal numbers show: Whites (71%) Bush 53 to 43, Hispanic (15%) Bush 48 to 43,
but Blacks (14%) Kerry 86 to 10.

Doing the math:
Bush: 53*.71+48*.15+10*.14=46.23
Kerry: 43*.71+43.15+86*.14=49.02

Kerry must think that Blacks are not going to vote.

[the Real fifi]

ARG is a very left leaning poll. Compare Gallup and some of the others.