We all have to be careful about these polls showing Bush ahead in CT and HI. Polls mean little to nothing, as the 2002 elections demonstrated. What matters is turnout, and I pray that it is the Bush people who will turnout this year and not the leftists!
There's a pattern here: MI,HI,CT. They are all Kerry "safe states" all showing sudden slippage for Kerry. You can extrapolate that the safe Kerry states are going leaning Kerry, leaning Kerry ones to tossup, and tossups to leaning Bush.
It looks like there's a Kerry bleed going on, and it might be starting to be pronounced. Zogby is now inferring the independents are leaning Bush. This might be causing this slide away from Kerry. Have to keep watching these state polls.