[Ernest_at_the_Beach]

I think you have to look at this state by state......

The red is not New Hanpshire, but proportional votes from Maine.

[Ernest_at_the_Beach]

Another one from Realclearpolitic

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RealClearPolitics Electoral Count
National Polls: 3 Way Race | Head-to-Head | Chart: 3-Way RCP Average | RCP Electoral Count | Battleground State Polls

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RCP Electoral Count: Bush 234 - Kerry 210*

*Maine's 2nd Congressional District is currently list as a "toss up," which subtracts 1 electoral vote from Kerry's overall total.