The October Surprise is a myth. The original October Surprise was the insane notion that private citizen George HW Bush flew a military jet by himself to negotiate the release of hostages in Paris.
It's so goofy on so many levels it almost makes Michael Moore seem reasonable by comparison.
Considering that millions of people have already voted, they sure are dragging their feet on this last-minute effort to sway the election.
The weekend before the 1992 election "independent" prosecutor Lawrence Walsh served about 13 people in Bush's orbit.
A couple of weeks before the 1996 election the Chinese campaign cash story broke.
The weekend before the 2000 election Dubya's DUI became public.
All three caused a shift of about 5 points.