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To: RWR8189

Oversampling of Republicans in this poll.

In the RV internals, Bush is up by 80 among Republicans, Kerry up 74 among Dems, that's a 2-point edge for Bush. Kerry up 3 among independents. If the GOP and Dems were sampled equally, Bush would be up by 1 point. Instead he's up 4 points. As others have said, don't trust the Gallup poll or the Newsweek poll, both have been all over the map due to sloppiness.


4 posted on 10/18/2004 10:02:10 AM PDT by Numbers Guy
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To: Numbers Guy
"As others have said, don't trust the Gallup poll or the Newsweek poll, both have been all over the map due to sloppiness."

Gallup explicitly rejects the use of party identification as a demographic parameter. While one may disagree with their methodology, Gallop is not sloppy.
13 posted on 10/18/2004 10:15:45 AM PDT by Warlord
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