But long before that Rudy would lose primaries in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina. He is not conservative enough to win the nomination.
Iowa would vote hands down for Guiliani! He was in Iowa recently and they absolutely adored him and they did a poll and most Iowans said they want him to run. As far as the other states you mentioned - I have no idea!
2008 will be a test of common sense for the republican party. the idea that Rudy as president would lead the charge towards new & expanded abortion rights, is crazy.