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In the moutains 150K really isn't that much. You would need alot just of service and support troops for an endevour like that.

Plus, Winter is coming along now. Why would you want to start something in the winter ?

The only Army that would want or need to fight in the winter is NK. Nov and April are the key times for them to move South. Maybe the CHICOMS are just saying no with a little bit a backing.

Re #43

Chinese are good at fighting in a frigid weather, too. Manchuria is a frigid place, more like Minnesota or Dakotas. Besides, in the winter, rivers are frozen. They won't need complicated river-crossing operation. They could roll over thick ice in tracked vehicles and trucks.

However, I am not necessarily saying that they are about to invade N. Korea this winter. They may or may not. We don't know. I believe that they try to be ready for all contingencies, though.

"In the moutains 150K really isn't that much. You would need alot just of service and support troops for an endevour like that."

This is true, but you have to remember that virtually every part of North Korea's military is concentrated on the defense of the DMZ against US and South Korean invasion. They've built up that border's defenses for the past 50 years, sinking every dime they had into it. They never really planned for a Chinese invasion, and they don't really have the money to make preparations quickly at this point. China's military would have no problems at all until they hit Pyongyang, at which point they might have to work a little bit. The thing of it is, I don't think they'll have to fight anyone else once they take Pyongyang. With the former regime deposed, the North Korea military will likely stand down. Therefore, I think that China's likely preparing for a lightning rush to Pyongyang to end things quickly and quietly.

"Why would you want to start something in the winter ?"

Because China has the money to fight a Winter war, while North Korea would find itself largely paralyzed. China's military strength may be diminished by the Winter weather, but North Korea would likely be almost entirely unable to respond militarily.

"The only Army that would want or need to fight in the winter is NK."

Only if that fight occurs at the DMZ, where they're already set up and ready to fight. As difficult as it would normally be for North Korea to shift military positions, it's all but impossible for them to do in the Winter. That makes it the perfect time for a lightning strike by China's military to take Pyongyang in a matter of days.