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To: TigerLikesRooster

Could you see the chinese supporting a military coup inside North Korea? If China moved troops into N. Korea do you think they would leave or do you think they would make a land grab?


34 posted on 10/15/2004 6:00:32 AM PDT by Ranger
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To: Ranger
Re #34

It is distinctly possible that China may support a coup in N. Korea. Once Chinese are into N. Korea, they would take all their time to leave.

Under this scenario, I envision some sort of partition, in which the area north of Pyongyang-Wonsan line could go to China, while the rest could go to America/S.Korea. It would be like the partition of Germany after WWII.

China wants a buffer state against America. America may not want China to take over the whole N. Korea. This arrangement could be acceptable to both China and U.S..

This is one of the possibilities

35 posted on 10/15/2004 6:25:14 AM PDT by TigerLikesRooster
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To: Ranger
"Could you see the chinese supporting a military coup inside North Korea?"

Absolutely not. The last thing China wants is confusion and chaos in its nuclear-armed neighbor. China wants those nuclear weapons dismantled in a controlled-as-possible manner. Anything less than that risks seeing Beijing reduced to rubble.

"If China moved troops into N. Korea do you think they would leave or do you think they would make a land grab?"

China would keep troops there for a while as peacekeepers, but they would continue to respect the sanctity of the borders. To do otherwise would undo all the political benefits that come from taking North Korea while giving China little more than a hunk of worthless land filled with starving people. I wouldn't be altogether surprised if they gave control of North Korea to the South Korean government and declared the peninsula a united Korea. That would thrill people in South Korea and Japan (in North Korea as well, but they don't really count), and it would all but guarantee the total removal of US forces from South Korea.
48 posted on 10/15/2004 7:36:57 AM PDT by NJ_gent (Conservatism begins at home. Security begins at the border. Please, someone, secure our borders.)
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