The analyst on ABC said it would take a team to unravel the charges and countercharges made by the debate. (Yeah, mostly on Kerry's side.) So it comes down to, did your candidate solidify his base. I would say that yes indeed, Bush charged his base with enthusiasm.
Thats not true. ABC doesn't want to give Bush credit for winning the debate.
They seem to be basing who won on their instant polls. I did send an email to Fineman at Newsweek:
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/6143336/site/newsweek/