Here's something else that has been forgotten. In 2000, Zogby's last California poll was a TIE 43 - 43 Bush Gore. The actual turned out to be 15 points higher for Gore. I just read that in a book with a chapter about the election.
See, in CA, it takes a half hour to vote because of all the referendums, and in presidential elections, there are always lines in the afternoon. So, if you left for work in the morning at 6:00am, and left work for home at 5:00pm, you could a)wait in line for a half hour to vote for a half hour and get home TWELVE hours after you left, or b)after hearing that Gore already won enough electoral votes to win the election, you could go straight home and kiss your wife and kids and sit down for dinner.
All the welfare and convict democrats voted earlier in the day, but many republicans, sorry to say, just didn't vote in 2000.
Look for CA to be ALOT closer this time around.