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To: manx

Rasmussen faces the same reality that Newsweek did. The debate ends way too late on the East coast to poll there. I don't know how our support distributes in the east because the Northeast would be strong Kerry and the South strong Bush, but if there's a Bush advantage in that time zone, Rasmussen would miss it in that 5% polled after the debate. California then could skew.

Best not to obsess over that and just await tomorrow, which will have tonight's sample.

Overall, this is looking like debates don't matter. The polling results were returning to their settle point regardless of intervening events.


121 posted on 10/09/2004 9:31:05 AM PDT by Owen
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To: Owen

Well, I admit it is a small difference, but he is referring to three days of polling when he says 95%, therefore, yesterdays polling had about 15% post debate polling. Also, since Oct. 6 and 7 were down in the 47.5% range, Oct. 8 had to have been over 49% already. Interesting why the surge. Maybe it was just the end of the Kerry's first debate bounce, and people are once again realizing Kerry sucks.


126 posted on 10/09/2004 9:38:09 AM PDT by manx
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To: Owen

Rasmussen faces the same reality that Newsweek did.

FYI, Rasmussen conducts the poll the same way every day. These numbers would of been in BEFORE the debate so none of these numbers reflect the 2nd Debate. Therefore, Today's number is where Bush was at when they stopped polling Friday. Tomorrow's number will be the first post debate numbers. Unlike the "snap polls" the Media conducts after a debate, Rass numbers are polled the same way every day


316 posted on 10/09/2004 5:34:26 PM PDT by MNJohnnie (Vote Bush 2004-We cannot survive a 9-10 President in a 9-11 World)
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