I don't like doing pessimistic math.
When they come, it will be at night when you are sleeping. They won't knock, a flash grenade or worse will wake you. If you move in the slightest, a fully automatic burst from an mp-5 or m-16 will kill you. The pornographer newspaper editor will congratulate the pedophile prosecutor for the smoothness of his planned raid. The 9mm ammo found at your residence will confirm your Nazi/white supremicist connections.
Remember this: Waco was set up as a raid to be observed by the media at an ATF setup and provided communications center for that media. The purpose was to garner increased funding for ATF whose budget was currently under consideration in congress. ATF STAGED A SHOW FOR THE MEDIA, IT JUST DIDN'T GO ACCORDING TO THEIR PLAN. Did the media report this? Not one illegal weapon was ever proven to exist at Waco. Did the media report this? Notice the difference between this and the incessant reporting of no WMD's in Iraq. You will get no help from the media.
Stalin killed 20 million Russians, while the New York Times knew and painted life a a safe workers paradise there. It is okay with the media for any liberal socialist/communist jackboot government to kill any gunowner or used-to-be gunowner, but not Ted Bundy.
Like you, I'll fight, if I can catch 'em sneaking up on me. Otherwise I'll just be murdered.
I don't like doing pessimistic math any more than you do.
And sadly, your assessment is quite accurate.
HOWEVER, if a bunch of poorly-armed (but at least ARMED) jews could hold off the Wehrmacht for ANY length of time in the Warsaw Ghetto, imagine what some patriots with modern weapons might do?
Pessimistic Math. Optimistic Patriot Count.
Like you, I will most likely be murdered in my sleep.
But IF I AM NOT, at least you and I still have the means to resist. And there are many more others just like us, for whom being an American means dying on your feet a free man, even though you're staring death straight in the face and you know it.
The Beaches of Normandy and other no-way-to-go-but-right-at-the-enemy battles attest to the strange intestinal fortitude of our fathers and grandfathers. Let us not fail them.
DG