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Posted on 10/04/2004 9:15:31 AM PDT by xzins
Bush 49% Kerry 46%
The latest Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll shows President George W. Bush with 49% of the vote and Senator John Kerry with 46%.
When leaners are included in the total, Kerry has closed to within two points of the President. Also, the President's Job Approval has fallen a point since the debate.
These results are based upon a survey of 3,000 Likely Voters conducted since Thursday night's debate. Overall, they show that Senator Kerry has gained one percentage point so far from the debate. It remains to be seen whether or not that bounce will grow leading up to the second debate. More...
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
Oh good. The numbers haven't changed since the first, second, or third posting today. ;-)
How many more the exact posts do we need here. Doesn't anyone know how to do a search.
Looks Kerry didn't get a bounce from his 'strong' debate performance. A 1% bump is margin of error territory.
3 realities of debates:
1-Who won on substance-Bush
2-Who won on presentation-Kerry
3-Who moved the polls (most important)-Kerry didn't
Yep.
This is the first time that all 3 day's numbers were taken after the debate.
Rasmussen's huge sample size allows for less volatility. Bush was up by about 4 before the debate. Now he's up 3.
4 on Saturday, 4 on Sunday, and 3 on Monday. Kerry gained a bit of ground.
Proof again that the after-debate war in the media is as important (or moreso) than the debate itself.
This is the best day of Sunday polling Bush has had since I've been keeping track (almost 3 months.) Say what you want about Rasmussen's accuracy, but one thing is certain. His polling methods haven't changed in the last week. The trend here is a stable 3-4 point lead for Bush.
????
How many more the exact posts do we need here. Doesn't anyone know how to do a search.
AMEN
I blame Halliburton.
I'm glad these numbers were posted again. Didn't see them earlier. Some of us can't hover over our computers 24/7... ;-)
There are some good things to be said for Rasmussen's huge sample size and automated methodology.
It's got problems picking up nuances at the end point of an election, but during the running, gunning battle it is very consistent and far less volatile.
Hey... we can never get enough good news :) No.. I agree with you....
Don't mean to be negative but didn't Rasmussen have Bush up by 8 or 9 points the day before the election in 2000?
He had him up by about 7 is what my memory says.
His method of using a rolling 3 day average doesn't allow for quick measurement of breaking developments. The DUI charge broke what -- 5 days before the election??
I saw the first post, but it reflected yesterday's numbers. So I posted one with today's numbers. Sorry.
Awww, don't be a meanie, why search when we can have SIX or SEVEN threads from the same and EXACT source.
Plus, apparantly you don't know -- Oct is "Waste Bandwidth Month"
;-)
Liberals Lie, Markets Don't.
http://128.255.244.60/graphs/graph_Pres04_WTA.cfm
I want to know where Bush will be a week after the first debate. I think it is an ephemeral bounce, and I would not be surprised to see it fade after a few days.
(a) Pah-leeze, this is within the MOE and you can't draw any conclusions.
(b) If anything, this is a disappointing performance for Kerry because . . . Sunday is his best day in Rass polls.
Tomorrow night the 1st debate will be set aside. The VP debate will be the topic.
After Friday night it will be forgotten. The 2nd Pres. debate will add to or erase the 1st Pres. debate.
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