Outstanding post! So, the weighting occurs when the number of Dems, Repubs and Independents is to be included in the sample is determined? Therefore, Newsweek did not take the
345 Republicans, 364 Democrats, 278 Independents and then weigh their responses based on a predetermined formula like yours of 37, 33, 30 for party affiliation?
This seems hard to believe. How can Newsweek say that with the passage of just several weeks, the likely party break down for the U.S. has shifted so dramatically?
Still confused.
-T
http://www.nationalreview.com/comment/graham200410011024.asp This is MUST reading by Tim Graham at NR
"Shortly before the debate began, Newsweek national editor Jon Meacham suggested on MSNBC that journalists are tired of Bush being in the lead, and so will try to narrow the race. Meacham foresaw "the possibility that President Bush has peaked about a month too early. Because we all need a narrative to change." Chris Matthews asked: "Is that your prediction?" Meacham replied: "I think it's possible that we're gonna be sitting around saying, 'Well you know Kerry really surprised us.' Because in a way the imperative is to change the story." "