Hugh hasn't a clue. By Monday, this will be even nationally, with Kerry pulling close or ahead in some swing states. Bush may well still win, but the polls will shrink by Monday -- and the media will spin hard.
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Bush 49% Kerry 46%
The latest Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll shows President George W. Bush with 49% of the vote and Senator John Kerry with 46%.
When leaners are included in the total, Kerry has closed to within two points of the President. Also, the President's Job Approval has fallen a point since the debate.
These results are based upon a survey of 3,000 Likely Voters conducted since Thursday night's debate. Overall, they show that Senator Kerry has gained one percentage point so far from the debate. It remains to be seen whether or not that bounce will grow leading up to the second debate. More...