Posted on 09/27/2004 1:28:14 PM PDT by slowhand520
The shock of $2.00 gasoline is wearing off. I think the average consumer realizes this is here to stay and John Kerry can't make it any better.
No, it is really high. 47/52 = 90% certain for Bush. This means Bush's floor is 47% while Kerry's is 37%. This is devastating for Kerry.
I didn't notice. Makes a difference.
Now I got it. Yes that is great news. I just read it wrong.
47% of all voters or 90% of Bush voters.
I wonder, where are those posters who kept posting charts showing that President Bush would be a lock if his approval ratings got into the 50s, except when they were posting, his approval was in the low 40s and that meant he was political roadkill?
I'm hoping repairs of the gulf rigs will be done soon and that that will help.
Heck, it is better than that. If he can just convince the 5% of people who are not certain but are inclined to vote for him he will have a cakewalk.
47% of all voters. 5% are iffy, but leaning Bush. It's very probable they will remain with Bush if things remain status quo through Election Day.
That said, a terrorist attack would cause a bigger knee jerk reaction to keep Bush in office. Since Kerry has absolutely no plan to fight terrorism, moderate Dems will run from him. The public is also suffering from "scandal fatigue", so I'm assuming any kind of "October Surprise" would not be domestic.
See above... I agree.
True, but Kerry was very vocal last week and he ate into the lead a bit. Makes it a very interesting debate on Thursday.
I agree that they are a concern, but I don't think a vast majority of the country blames them on Bush. They understand all (or at least some) of the factors and that the POTUS can't do much about most of them. I do believe the high prices are significantly impacting our economy, but 1. there is only 36 days left until the election, and 2. Kerry has decided Iraq is the #1 issue in the election. Both are good factors for Bush. If this Gallup poll tells us anything, it is that the public has taken a sniff and Kerry and decided he wouldn't be better than Bush. Look at the internals. Despite the media emphasis on problems in Iraq, and in the economy, Bush's approval in both areas is now greater than Kerry's. Kerry has become a dead candidate walking. He can pitch a fit, and scream bloody murder, but the jury has already given him the big thumbs down.
Sweet!
Wow! You are indeed correct. The internals are just devastating to Kerry. I encourage everyone to read the whole poll and results on the link. Kerry is toast.
they need to add another category:
Registered Voter
Likely Voter
Certain Voter
Already Voted
I just did! felt so good I wish I could do it again!
Be wary of overconfidence. Keep working as if our lives depend on a Bush victory, which of course they do. And don't forget there's a bunch of mip-and-tuck Senate races that need winning. November is for high fives and champagne; now, it's hard work and sweat.
OPEC has said there is as much as a $10 to $15 political premium on the price of a BBL of oil right now.
$2 oil isn't here at all. The right price of a BBL is between $26 and $33/BBL.
Now, don't do that - we'd have to call you a democrat then!
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