Their antiwar rhetoric won't play well in OH - I have to assume they are aware of this. OH is very patriotic State.
With that said, until we hear the Kerry camp has pulled ad buys from OH we still need to remain active there with our own ads.
As for FL, I think we are up there by a few points, but I would not consider it Safe just yet. We need to really have a big ground game up and running there on election day. FL will have a big turnout this year (just because of 2000).
Kerry's best off keeping up his efforts in Ohio. While I think it's quite unlikely that he'll take Ohio, he needs to reel Wisconsin and Iowa back in, hold Pennsylvania, then take either Ohio or Florida to have any hope of winning. That's a tall order, but trying to draw the inside straight of WI, IA, PA, and FL is even tougher.
Agree. There is also another factor: Nader's votes have already been figured in with Kerry's. If Kerry is perceived at all as a loser (not hard), I think you'll see Nader's vote expand slightly in some of these states.