[Tallguy]

But Kerry has retaken the lead in Pennsylvania, and that is a big swing. Picking Florida, or a combination of Ohio/any small blue state, puts him in office.

IMHO, Kerry has no-chance if he doesn't carry Pennsylvania. The fact that Kerry has yet to seal the deal in PA is very telling, especially when you realize that his campaign is effectively pulling out of about 4 other swing-states.

If PA does go for Bush, it will be as part of a landslide. And I think at this point that is a distinct possibility.

[LS]

Exactly right. PA decides if it's a 320 EV night or (hope, hope, hope) a 400 EV night.