I guess you can say I am too close to the situation? Folks that I worked with in Hong Kong were leaving and none too happy about the hand-over. Taiwan will be the deciding factor, that and their overt flaunting of international trade laws regarding patent and copyright infringement.
Hey, if you have first or second hand knowledge, then you are much more familiar with the inner-workings of China than I am. I'm just going off of the things I read in business oriented publications and my belief that the "capitalism genie" will not want to go back to its bottle.