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To: creepycrawly
I'm sure Josh has a good link, but I searched FR on ARG and found this stuff.

This ARG poll released on 10/25/2000 and this ARG poll three days before the election both had Gore winning Florida by 4 points.

This is a SWAG, but since they predicted a pretty solid Gore win and the state went even with a large number of panhandle voters staying home, I'd say that means that this time Dubya is up by at least 5 points.

14 posted on 09/23/2004 12:45:05 PM PDT by Mr. Silverback (If the Cambodia "lie" 100% discredits John O'Neill, what do 50 Cambodia lies do for Kerry?)
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To: Mr. Silverback
Thanks. They also had Bush taking Oregon by 4 and the other two correct. So they got 50% on those four.

Also, this was two weeks before the election. At that time, Harris had Bush up by 5 nationally and then, right before the election, had it as too close too call.

15 posted on 09/23/2004 12:52:12 PM PDT by creepycrawly
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To: Mr. Silverback

Thanks... but I think you'll agree, a poll showing Gore winning Kentucky or Louisiana by double digits in 2000 would be a lot better to show off...


17 posted on 09/23/2004 1:27:03 PM PDT by HostileTerritory
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