Actually, the results are not far from other polls. The real difference is that ARG has Penn and Fla going for Kerry each by 1%. That represents a 48 EC point turnaround for Kerry. BFD, there's only one poll that counts.
I think that ARG is generally 3-6 points weighted pro-Kerry in most states. Here are some examples: Bush leads by double-digits in Arizons in most polls, but six with ARG. Bush leads by 16 points or so in Georgia in most polls, but 11 with ARG. Bush trails by 4-6 points in Michigan but is down 8 with ARG. Bush has a comfortable 13 point lead or so in TN, but is only up 7 with ARG.