As others have mentioned, ARG tends to lean far, far left. Even at that, if W takes only FL out of Fn's tally, he wins by a fair margin.
FL will be tough, but I've got to believe we will win it once again, and with it the election.
Thing about Florida...Jeb won re-election easily at a time when we were told that anger over the recount was high. The military vote should strongly favor the President.
Florida will be close, but I doubt it will be as close as 2000. And if Bush wins PA, then Florida may not be so important.