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To: ambrose
Gallup Poll: Bush 54%, Kerry 40%, Nader 3%

What a ridiculous poll, as are the ones showing the race a dead-heat. It's amazing that the science of polling has made so little progress in all these decades. In statistics we call data such as the Gallup one an "outlier"--to be discarded (along with the Pew "dead-even" nonsense today). The true race averages +5.75 points for bush

174 posted on 09/16/2004 6:26:19 PM PDT by montag813
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To: montag813
What a ridiculous poll, as are the ones showing the race a dead-heat. It's amazing that the science of polling has made so little progress in all these decades. In statistics we call data such as the Gallup one an "outlier"--to be discarded (along with the Pew "dead-even" nonsense today). The true race averages +5.75 points for bush

Wild poll swings sell papers.

185 posted on 09/16/2004 6:31:21 PM PDT by ambrose (http://www.swiftvets.com)
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