Hurricane Ivan -- Thursday 9/16 thread [Landfall!]

NWS/NHC, various | 9/16/2004

[Cvengr]

God bless to you and your family,..prayers out..

[Eagle Eye]

I had them evacuate to Alabama a few days ago because I knew that if they waited they'd experience traffic jams and no hotels. Now they have hotels rooms off of ground level a hundred miles inland.

However, the house is only about 10 miles inland.

[commish]

THanks..hopefully I will still have power in the morning. I am hoping that once we do lose power it won't be for long. ALl the lines in our Neighborhood are buried, and we are only 1/2-3/4 mile from the substation for this area of montgomery and are on the main line. To get power to the rest of East Montgomery they have to get that line back online, so I figure we should be the beneficiary of that.

[lainie]

I haven't yet heard anything about that specifically but I'll keep my ears open.

[commish]

Eye is moving just to the east side of the bay, so surge should be around 10-12 feet instead fo the 15-20 Ft they were predicting.

[commish]

WPMI Mobile

Excellent Coverage so far of the entire Mobile bay area.

[snapperjk]

When selling real estate it's location, location, location.
Unless it's the Gulf Coast. Elevation, elevation, elevation. Hope they are high.

[Tall_Texan]

Thanks. Listening now and heard some callers in the area I'm hoping to hear from (Baldwin CO, AL). Sounds like they are getting a pounding.

[BurbankKarl]

Alabama River at Choctaw Bluff, AL

[rdl6989]

That could be a huge difference. I am listening online now to the WPMI stream.

[kenth]

I thought I heard one of them reporting 80 mph gusts through the city.

[mrsmel]

We just dodged the bullet twice,all our power lines are buried in my neighborhood,but the power just went off twice,but came back on both times within the minute. I hope we stay lucky!

[Travis McGee]

If you stacked my knowledge of hurricane behavior next to yours, I'm certain it would look like a pea next to a pumkin. A very small pea.

[Cedar]

I've been trying to watch/listen to stream/read it all too.

[Eagle Eye]

We're 2 miles off of Escambia Bay. The rain will hurt, probably find it's way in simply because the draininage isn't sufficient and there's really nowhere for it to go.

We are about as high in the area as one can get, that's the good news. What the winds will do to the trees and other debris will be the question.

Then there are the questions of tornados.

Overall, all bets are off. I don't have any expectations and it is frustrating to have to sit here and watch this online.

[BurbankKarl]

Here is a good river stage, flooding and precip forecast site...

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/lmrfc/quickbrief.shtml

[Hunble]

I am placing my own reputation and skills for hurricane path predictions on the line tonight.

This is rather personal challenge and please excuse me if I sounded harsh in any way toward you.

By posting my final prediction at 9:14 PM CDT, I was in full understanding that it would be viewed by some outstanding meteorologists.

One of us will be correct tonight.....

[snapperjk]

Francis passed over us just to the north on it's way out into the GOM as TS. The winds on the aft side (SE) were far stronger than on fore side; area of sustained 40's and gusts 50-60mph. We still have many trees down within 1K of us. I just removed plywood shutters from all windows today and felt they were worth it even just for Francis. Good luck!

[weatherFrEaK]

5,4,3,2...

[snapperjk]

E E, CNN now reporting live from Pen. 00:42CDT