[alancarp]

I am about to violate provisions of my Accuweather service, and reprint an excerpt of Joe Bastardi's (expert opinion) online column in the interest of public safety.

"I think landfall is near Pascagoula Mississippi around 3 am. ... I think this will be the worst hurricane in the history of Mobile Alabama..., worse than Frederick in 1979 and one that will do tremendous damage to the bay area and the barrier islands."

He suggests that New Orleans will survive - that past hurricanes that were bigger and closer did NOT devastate the city as has been splashed over various news reports in the past 24 hours.

But Mobile will have a huge problem due to the circulation pushing sea water through a funnel-shaped bay -- a huge inland storm surge will be the result (note that the last close hit to Mobile (David?) emptied the bay since it landed EAST of Mobile. Ivan will hit to the West, thus piling up the water.

[Dog Gone]

I think that's exactly right. It's going to be far worse for Mobile with a more western landfall. Estimates are that the storm surge in the north end of Mobile Bay would be at least 13 feet, and up to 18 feet.

[No Blue States]

Thanks for posting that interesting opinion. (I wont tell)
Alabama hasnt been talked about that much, do they have refineries?

[rwfromkansas]

An excerpt falls under fair use. You aren't violating anything.