[alancarp]

The Carolina solution appears to be off the table. The 11pm discussion page is basically dissing the GFDL and GFS model solutions on the premise that they have missed the strength of the ridge. The NOGAPS and UKMET models are verifying their prior runs. See my post 526 above.

Those models bring Frances in between Melbourne and West Palm Beach... that's exactly where the Hurricane Center has now moved the target area.

Figure on a strike in that area near HIGH TIDE Saturday morning -- Noon Saturday -- Melbourne has a high tide around 11:20am.

[killjoy]

Those models bring Frances in between Melbourne and West Palm Beach... that's exactly where the Hurricane Center has now moved the target area.

If that is the case, what do you do you think will happen around the Broward County/Palm Beach line. That is where I am at.