The latest European model -ECMWF- now tracks her to the GA coast. This is a major shift in this model since the last run. Of the five models I checked, ETA, AVN, MRF, ECMWF and UKMET, 3 put it near Melbourne, 2 put it up near GA/SC.
I am soooo glad I'm in the Midwest!
What is this talk about a tropical ridge that may send her south toward Miami?
Right now the way this storm is moving it is VERY HARD to figure out where (or if) to evacuate. Inland? Well, in South Florida there really is no inland. 20 miles West of the ocean is Everglades and no place to stay there. Plus I think Alligator Alley will be so jammed full of cars that you could be trapped there in the middle of hurricane winds. South? Well, the hurricane could also take a left turn right into where you are going. Also if you go north, the hurricane can follow you that way. I think there will be a lot of last minute decisions.