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The sharp right turn once it hits land is pretty interesting. I'm in Tampa Bay so I'm watching, but this one's going to be hard to predict it seems and also hard to predict impact to the west coast because of direction it takes once it hits land.

I think conventional wisdom is they lose strength quickly once they hit land, so even if it came across the state, its force would be greatly lessened once it got to Tampa.

But for those in the know, didn't Charley stay a pretty intense storm even after it made landfall?

Oh well, still got all our supplies on hand, but wondering about putting boards back on the picture windows if it's headed this way.

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Dawn53

I think conventional wisdom is they lose strength quickly once they hit land, so even if it came across the state, its force would be greatly lessened once it got to Tampa.

I live in Tampa as well, visiting my kids (four teenagers) in Melbourne every weekend.

Westernern Kissimme (Intercession City, etc) really got clobbered by Charley, and they weren't even in the main path. They might have been 35 miles away from Charley's Eye.

Conclusion and Predictions ?

Hurricane Frances won't hit Melbourne head-on. That priveledge goes to Vero Beach.

Then it'll churn about fifty miles due north, to where Melbourne / Palm Bay recieves a 75 % hit (winds at 125 MPH).

After knocking-down all power and communications along the "Space and Treasure Coast", damned Frances will wobble west for a liesurly I-4 tour of Central Florida, as it winds it's way to Tampa St-Pete, where all we'll get (here) is eight inches of rain with winds at 75 MPH.

Oh Brother ... What a Labor Day Weekend this is gonna be.

You can bet that Bush-&-Bush are ALREADY getting the Big Guns ready to restore Central Florida ASAP ... because it's going to get Hammered 2X worse than Charley.

Patton@Bastogne
Free Republic Member since 1998.

General George S. Patton Jr. Website

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I think conventional wisdom is they lose strength quickly once they hit land, so even if it came across the state, its force would be greatly lessened once it got to Tampa.

Don't count on it.

Hugo hit S. Carolina, travelled two hundred miles and Charlotte still got 100 mph winds.

Frances appears to be a similar hurricane.