This poll flies in the face of other polls I have seen in the past few days. With all the money Hollywood, the assorted leftist 527 groups, Michael Moore, George Soros and the DNC has spent and with the adoration Kerry gets from the mainstream media he should be up at least 15 points right now. The Republicans still haven't had their convention, the big guns of the Party haven't been out campaigning yet and the Bush campaign hasn't even begun their advertising blitz. Kerry will watch helplessly as his dream (and our nightmare)of being president fades with the autumn sun.
Alng with you I am still predicting a Bush victory, and probably quite decicive. Kerry is in the middle of a "Dukakis August" now. Remember Bush was 5pts behind a sitting Vice President on Labor Day 2000 and won. Not rare, but not that easy to do. That being said most pollsters had Bush ahead 5 pts a week before the election, and it slipped to 2 after the staged release of the DUI. Zogby had it close all the way and I believe he was closest of all pollsters. Rasmussen was closest in 1996 I believe and they were way off in 2000, so maybe Zogby will be off this time after hitting it in 2000.
Who knows. I just see a trend building, that as a Bush supporter I feel comfortable and if I was a Kerry supporter, I would be nervous. Remember, noone is voting FOR Kerry, they are only voting against Bush.