[HipShot]

This puts it in nontechnical terms:

http://email.about.com/cs/bayesianfilters/a/bayesian_filter.htm

[HipShot]

From the "Suicide is Painless" Department:

Iran Warns Of Preemptive Strike [Against U.S. Forces] To Prevent Attack On Nuclear Sites

DOHA, Aug 18 (AFP) - Iranian Defense Minister Ali Shamkhani warned Wednesday that Iran might launch a preemptive strike against US forces in the region to prevent an attack on its nuclear facilities.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1194142/posts