At best I see us gaining 2, which is a shame, because we should have knocked out Reid, Patty Murray, and Baucus. Reid and Baucus are running virtually unopposed. The IL GOP is pathetic to screw up the situation the way they did.
I don't understand why, no one even likes her, or Feinstein.
Curious.. I agree about SC and GA. FL I am not so sure about...but NC? Bowles is 10% ahead in polls I have been seeing. Do we really think we can win this one?
OK is a possiblity for us to lose, but less of one since we nominated Coburn. AK is another one that the R is polling behind the demoncrat.
I like the enthusiasm, but I am not so optimistic. I hope that I am wrong...but here is Seattle, I am surrounded by rats everywhere...
Add Nevada to that last sentence. The last I understood, the reason for not knocking out Reid, who won by only 500+ votes, is that with his seniority in Congress, Nevada will get more Federal goodies. So sayeth the Dems and our spineless Pubbies agree.
Your Senate analysis is too pessimistic.
We will pick up all 5 southern seats - FL, GA, NC, SC, and LA.
We will hold CO, AK, and OK.
We will lose IL.
We will gain either the SD seat or the WA seat, unlikely both. Not giving up on WI, either - Feingold could lose.
Still net +4 or more = 55-44-1
Illinois is not lost, Keyes is toying with running for Senator from Illinois. I have not given up on Illinois, if Bush makes some effort, Keyes is in.
You are dreaming on Murray ever having been in play. WA state is packed to the gills with union D's.
Boeing moving taught them nothing, and winning the 7E7 work has convinced them that D's can be good for business.
Never mind that job growth is in reverse, and unemployment in WA state leads the nation.
Wack jobs like McDermott are celebrities here.