Posted on 08/02/2004 5:09:32 PM PDT by Heff
That's a crap title too!
Here in CT, Dodd is running, and his opponent is just stupid. His big campaign issue is to ensure that the Sikorsky Helicopter that the President flies around in doesn't get moved to another state. Of all the issues, this is what he picks. Geez. At least he's probably not having sex with 13 year old girls like the last Republican senate candidate in these parts.
Thanks that's a start...sounds like we have some trouble spots...eh!
In Florida where Katherine Harris would be winning, the GOP has fallen behind and none of the GOP candidates have caught fire.
That sucks!
Dont know if Florida is necessarily lost. Mel Martinez has been polled to where he would beat the leading Dim candidate Castor. Only problem is that he is behind Mccollum right now of Clinton Impeachment fame. McCullom lost handily to Nelson in 2000 and I think the guy should sit it out and give it to Martinez who is cuban and a success story if any.
Keep in mind though that we are the state which elected (shiver) Kathleen Babbling Blank-o (shudder) as our governor over the very talented and conservative Bobby Jindal. So, anything can happen, but Vitter's a fighter, and won't let up one bit.
Interestingly, Jindal has a huge lead in the race for Vitter's US House seat. Given the district, Jindal should win easily, giving us another conservative voice in Washington.
More info at:
Georgia-- Republican pickup. Soon-to-be Sen. Johnny Isakson (R)
Alaska-- Murkowski is runnig about even with former Democratic Gov. Tony Knowles, but he is NOT a strong candidate. Bush's coattails (he will carry AK handily) -should- pull Murkowski in. I say she has the advantage.
North Carolina-- will be a dogfight. Rep. Richard Burr (R) is solid, but Erskine Bowles (D) has name recognition owing to his failed race two years ago. Again, Bush's coattails will help Burr. But this one is basically even.
South Carolina-- Rep. Jim DeMint (R) is a strong candidate. Inez Tenenbaum (R) is fairly popular, but she's running uphill in a very GOP-leaning state.
Florida-- Call it. Betty Castor (D) is the likely Dem. Republican wil be either former Rep. Bill McCollum or Mel Martinez. McColum would be a slight underdog, Martinez a slight favorite. Even right now.
Louisiana-- Dems though Rep. Chris John would win rather easily, but they didn't figure on State Treasurer Jim Kennedy would enter the race. Polls show Rep. David Vitter (R) leading both by a good margin. He won't win outright (probably), but he's the strongest as of now.
Oklahoma-- Rep. Brad Carson (D) is strong, and would normally have an even chance, especially if the R nominee had been former OK City Mayor Kirk Humphreys. But former Rep. Tom Coburn (R) won the primary, and is now the favorite. Interestingly, Coburn held the congressional district that Carson holds now (Carson won it afetr Coburn retired.)
Colorado-- Very tough for the GOP as of now. State Atty. General Ken Salazar (D) was the strongest candidate the Dems could have put up. The Republican wil be either former Rep. Bob Schaffer or beer magnate Pete Coors. Coors would be the stronger because of his wealth and name recognition.
The House is in no danger to flip democratic.
The House is in no danger to flip democratic.
Are you sure of this??
Also great post...interested in the Colorado race...I thought the primary already knock off Coors?
The CO primary is next Tuesday.
God bless ya, gbunch, but screw cautious optimism. That has tanked more Republican candidates than sex and class warfare combined. We all need to be ruthlessly realistic, get off our butts and work our keesters off till the polls indicate our candidates have a ten point lead, then do it all over again till its twenty. You sound like there's a good chance you already are, but a lot of people are just waiting for an excuse to "let George do it", and in my experience "optimism" is one of the most common ones. Our freedom is too valuable to leave it to "I hope I hope I hope". You probably don't mean it that way, but a lot of people take it that way.
God bless ya again
Louisiana is different, but it's not complicated at all. Everybody runs in an open primary, If nobody gets 50%, the top two finishers, regardless of party, are in a runoff.
You need to hang out with better informed people.
I never said they were well informed...because they don't hang out here at FR.
Senate:
Martinez will win in Fla. Isakson takes Georgia. DeMint takes SC. It will be harder in NC and LA, but both can be won. Thune has a good shot at knocking off Daschle--as good a shot as anyone ever will.
We lose open seats in IL and CO, but hold onto OK and AK. WA is the dark horse race. Nothing else is competitive.
Conclusion: GOP gains two to five seats (probably three), but one of those gains is illusory because Zell Miller is being replaced by a "moderate" Republican.
Wishful thinking in Florida as Martinez is behind in the Primary. The Democrat candidate is taking a pro-military pro-war stance, and is also talking about being a budget hawk. Martinez needs to do something quick if he is gonna be the GOP nominee.
Brownback up up for reelection in Kansas. I don't think that the Democrats are even running anyone.
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