Historically, there have not been two close elections in a row since the 1880s. Gore was an incumbent VP with peace and prosperity. Bush was a relative unknown on the national level save his father's name. As an incumbent wartime President with a recovering economy, Bush now holds the advantage. His margin will be greater in the electoral college than the popular vote, but he should win easily as long as the turnout is reasonable. The only fly in the ointment is Iraq and another 9/11 like terrorist attack. I don't pay much attention to the polls until after Labor Day.
I don't pay much attention to the polls until after Labor Day.