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BLESSING IN DISGUISE Five reasons why some on the right might secretly welcome a Kerry victory
Houston Chronicle ^ | JOHN MICKLETHWAIT and ADRIAN WOOLDRIDGE

Posted on 08/01/2004 5:39:30 AM PDT by TomDoniphon68

One of the secrets of conservative America is how often it has welcomed Republican defeats. In 1976, many conservatives saw the trouncing of the moderate Gerald Ford as a way of clearing the path for the ideologically pure Ronald Reagan in 1980. In November 1992, George H.W. Bush's defeat provoked celebrations not just in Little Rock, where the Clintonites danced around to Fleetwood Mac, but also in some corners of conservative America.

"Oh yeah, man, it was fabulous," recalled Tom DeLay, the hard-line congressman from Sugar Land, Texas, who had feared another "four years of misery" fighting the urge to cross his party's too-liberal leader. At the Heritage Foundation, a group of right-wingers called the Third Generation conducted a bizarre rite involving a plastic head of the deposed president on a platter decorated with blood-red crepe paper.

There is no chance that Republicans would welcome the son's defeat in the same way they rejoiced at the father's. George W. is much more conservative than George H.W., and he has gone out of his way to throw red meat to each faction of the right: tax cuts for the anti-government conservatives, opposition to gay marriage and abortion for the social conservatives and the invasion of Iraq for the neoconservatives. Still, there are five good reasons why, in a few years, some on the right might look on a John Kerry victory as a blessing in disguise.

First, President Bush hasn't been as conservative as some would like. Small-government types fume that he has increased discretionary government spending faster than Bill Clinton. Buchananite paleoconservatives, libertarians and Nelson Rockefeller-style internationalists are all furious -- for their very different reasons -- about Bush's "war of choice" in Iraq. Even some neocons are irritated by his conduct of that war -- particularly his failure to supply enough troops to make the whole enterprise work.

The second reason conservatives might cheer a Bush defeat is to achieve a foreign-policy victory. The Bush foreign-policy team hardly lacks experience, but its reputation has been tainted -- by infighting, by bungling in Iraq and by the rows with Europe. For better or worse, many conservatives may conclude that Kerry, who has accepted most of the main tenets of Bush's policy of pre-emption, stands a better chance than Bush of increasing international involvement in Iraq, of winning support for Washington's general war on terror and even of forcing reform at the United Nations. After all, could Jacques, Gerhard and the rest of those limp-wristed continentals say no to a man who speaks fluent French and German and has just rid the world of the Toxic Texan?

The third reason for the right to celebrate a Bush loss comes in one simple word: gridlock. Gridlock is a godsend to some conservatives -- it's a proven way to stop government spending. A Kerry administration is much more likely to be gridlocked than a second Bush administration because the Republicans look sure to hang on to the House and have a better-than-even chance of keeping control of the Senate.

The fourth reason has to do with regeneration. Some conservatives think the Republican Party -- and the wider conservative movement -- needs to rediscover its identity. Is it a "small government" party, or does "big government conservatism" make sense? Is it the party of big business or of free markets? Under Bush, Western anti-government conservatives have generally lost ground to Southern social conservatives, and pragmatic internationalists have been outmaneuvered by neoconservative idealists. A period of bloodletting might help, returning a stronger party to the fray.

And that is the fifth reason why a few conservatives might welcome a November Bush-bashing: the certain belief that they will be back, better than ever, in 2008. The conservative movement has an impressive record of snatching victory from the jaws of defeat. Ford's demise indeed helped to power the Reagan landslide; "Poppy" Bush's defeat set up the Gingrich revolution. In four years, many conservatives believe, President Kerry could limp to destruction at the hands of somebody like Colorado Gov. Bill Owens.

When the British electorate buried President Bush's hero, Winston Churchill, and his Conservative Party, Lady Churchill stoically suggested the "blessing in disguise" idea to her husband. He replied that the disguise seemed pretty effective. Yet the next few years vindicated Lady Churchill's judgment. The Labor Party, working with Harry S. Truman, put into practice the anti-communist containment policies that Churchill had championed. So in 1951, the Conservative Party could return to office with an important piece of its agenda already in place and in a far fitter state than it had been six years earlier. It held office for the next 13 years.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: conservatives; gangaabuse; wishfulthinking
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To: TomDoniphon68

The writer obviously has no idea how far left John Kerry really is. If Kerry is elected, we are all in big trouble. At home and abroad.


21 posted on 08/01/2004 5:58:22 AM PDT by samtheman (www.georgewbush.com)
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To: Josh in PA
Republicans and Conservatism will survive if Kerry wins. You must either be a troll or a plant (lol). I agree with what you say.

I was listening to a Christian talk show yesterday and the thought occurred to me. The host was going on about how he was biting his tongue and voting for Bush. I've heard that from more than one Christian talk show host. So does it seem to you that the Republican party is to Conservative Christians what the Democratic Party is to Blacks?

22 posted on 08/01/2004 5:59:12 AM PDT by joesbucks
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To: TomDoniphon68

Don't these fools understand? It's way beyond politics now. The survival of Western civilization is at stake, and they still continue to wallow in this 9/10 mindset. To surrender to the Dems at this point is equivalent to giving up on the future of the human race.


23 posted on 08/01/2004 5:59:14 AM PDT by omniscient
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To: TomDoniphon68

no real republicans want the toilet twins to win


24 posted on 08/01/2004 5:59:32 AM PDT by The Wizard (Demonrats: enemies of America)
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To: TomDoniphon68

A sixth reason ... a stake through the heart of Hitlary.


25 posted on 08/01/2004 6:04:02 AM PDT by iconoclast (Conservative, not partisan)
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To: TomDoniphon68

The only reason I can imagine that a Kerry win might be a good thing is when he bungles the war on terror with his indecisiveness and ruins the economy with his socialist policies he'll probably be the last Democrat president elected in this century.


26 posted on 08/01/2004 6:07:22 AM PDT by wontbackdown
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To: rdb3

NOOO..."it" couldn't be that transparent could it?

Alright what costs 710.96? AR15? Glock 23? etc...?


27 posted on 08/01/2004 6:07:33 AM PDT by I got the rope
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To: buffyt
I am with you there.

His actions coming out of Vietnam are inexcusable. Those that don't see that are condemned to repeat history.

We will not let that happen!

28 posted on 08/01/2004 6:07:39 AM PDT by Northern Yankee (Freedom Needs A Soldier!)
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Comment #29 Removed by Moderator

To: TomDoniphon68

The only way one could wish for the victory of J Effin Kerry is if one was absolutely convinced it was time for CWII.

If it isn't time yet, the election of Effin, would likely make it so.


30 posted on 08/01/2004 6:09:05 AM PDT by the gillman@blacklagoon.com
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To: I got the rope
Alright what costs 710.96? AR15? Glock 23? etc...?

Click the link, my friend. That AR15 sounds good, BTW.


$710.96... The price of freedom.

31 posted on 08/01/2004 6:12:29 AM PDT by rdb3 (REPUBLICAN as of July 23, 2004. I have my blueprint now!)
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Comment #32 Removed by Moderator

To: wontbackdown; buffyt
Bungling the war on terror might cause the deaths of thousands of Americans.

That's not something I am willing to gamble on.

33 posted on 08/01/2004 6:14:07 AM PDT by Northern Yankee (Freedom Needs A Soldier!)
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To: TomDoniphon68
And that is the fifth reason why a few conservatives might welcome a November Bush-bashing: the certain belief that they will be back, better than ever, in 2008.

Yeah, like the way we bounced back in 96 to replace Clinton. Duh? With a Republican congress to counterbalance Clinton, the public saw no need to replace Clinton.

Question to ask all so the so called conservatives who want to lose in 2004, how many judges is Lerch likely to nominate to Supreme Court during his fist four years?

34 posted on 08/01/2004 6:14:50 AM PDT by Dave S
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To: TomDoniphon68

This needs a bit of deconstruction -

Democrats are secretly hoping that Kerry will lose big. This will energize the democrat's Stalinist base as it searches for and grooms a screaming Marxist to run in '08.

First, Kerry hasn't been as Marxist as some would like.

The second reason left wingers might cheer a Kerry defeat is to achieve a hand-over of America to the UN and 1930's style European communists and fascists.

The third reason for the left to celebrate a Kerry loss comes in one simple word: poodle.

The fourth reason has to do with re-education camps. Some leftists think the rat Party -- and the wider Marxist movement -- needs to rediscover its totalitarian identity.

And that is the fifth reason why a few leftists might welcome a November Kerry-bashing: the certain belief that they will be back, more leftist than ever, in 2008.


35 posted on 08/01/2004 6:15:36 AM PDT by sergeantdave (Gen. Custer wore an Arrowsmith shirt to his last property owner convention.)
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To: the gillman@blacklagoon.com
CWII?

Conservatives would win that in a heartbeat. (We have all the guns! ;))

36 posted on 08/01/2004 6:16:09 AM PDT by Northern Yankee (Freedom Needs A Soldier!)
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Comment #37 Removed by Moderator

To: TomDoniphon68
'Why yes, cutting off one's head in a guillotine WILL cure that nasty dandruff problem!', he said brightly.

This is drek.

38 posted on 08/01/2004 6:20:31 AM PDT by asgardshill ("I like the yellow ones")
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To: omniscient; All

"It's way beyond politics now. The survival of Western civilization is at stake..."

Yes, yes, and yes.

And what's all this about Kerry speaking fluent German? I haven't heard about this life-skill before. Can anyone confirm this?


39 posted on 08/01/2004 6:21:39 AM PDT by jocon307
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To: TomDoniphon68

Let's see what a torrent of anti-Kerry mpegs circulated world-wide do...this may be the first Internet campaign for president.


40 posted on 08/01/2004 6:22:07 AM PDT by pabianice
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